SWAG stands for Scientific Wild-Ass Guess. Here is a SWAG for Firefly might.
| *** WARNING ***
This is a Scientific Wild-Ass Guess (SWAG) of Firefly might, obtained using the error-prone technique of graphical analysis. Use at your own risk, as the numbers should be ball-park accurate, but any feedback or updates are welcome! |
Guestimated Firefly might for level 30 firefly at each difficulty:
| Difficulty | Level 30 Might |
|---|---|
| 1 | 125,000 |
| 2 | 310,000 |
| 3 | 1,200,000 |
| 4 | 5,250,000 |
| 5 | 20,100,000 |
| 6 | 65,000,000 |
| 7 | 225,000,000 |
| 8 | 805,000,000 |
| 9 | 3,010,000,000 |
| 10 | 9,800,000,000 |
| 11 | 34,500,000,000 |
| 12 | 110,000,000,000 |
How To Use This Information
- Click on a Lair as if you are going to set up a Rally.
- Set up your march as if you were attacking a lair
- Note the troop might in the lower left.
In this case, my march will hit with just over 13 mil. This is enough to complete level 4 (5 million) but not level 5 (20 million).
What Do You Mean By ‘Graphical Analysis’?
By capturing the “recommended might” from every firefly of the first 6 difficulties (well, most of them), I was able to plot this chart, which is not very useful:
However, by changing the vertical axis to logarithmic, it looks like this:
Note that these lines are now somewhat evenly spaced. I did some number crunching, which wasn’t very fruitful, and sat on the data for a while, as I wasn’t sure what to do with it.
Then I did this:
- The gray blocks are an average of the spacing between difficulties. This provides an extrapolation of each difficulty level.
- The purple and orange lines are a logarithmic scale that has been calibrated to the graph.
- Using the calibrated graph, measured the top (end point) of each gray block
Here is what this looks like zoomed in:
For example, the top of difficulty 6 is above 60 million on the purple scale, and right about at 5 on the orange scale, so 65,000,000.