{"id":931,"date":"2025-04-29T11:03:45","date_gmt":"2025-04-29T17:03:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/?p=931"},"modified":"2025-04-29T11:03:45","modified_gmt":"2025-04-29T17:03:45","slug":"reference-firefly-might-swag","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/reference-firefly-might-swag\/","title":{"rendered":"Reference &#8211; Firefly Might (SWAG)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>SWAG stands for Scientific Wild-Ass Guess.\u00a0 Here is a SWAG for Firefly might.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"background-color: darkblue; color: yellow; border: 1pt yellow;\"><b>*** WARNING ***<\/b><\/p>\n<p>This is a Scientific Wild-Ass Guess (SWAG) of Firefly might, obtained using the error-prone technique of graphical analysis.<\/p>\n<p>Use at your own risk, as the numbers should be ball-park accurate, but any feedback or updates are welcome!<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Guestimated Firefly might for level 30 firefly at each difficulty:<\/p>\n<table style=\"width: 200px;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th style=\"width: 100px;\">Difficulty<\/th>\n<th style=\"width: 100px; text-align: right;\">Level 30 Might<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>1<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right;\"><span data-sheets-root=\"1\">125,000<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>2<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right;\"><span data-sheets-root=\"1\">310,000<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>3<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right;\"><span data-sheets-root=\"1\">1,200,000<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>4<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right;\">5,250,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>5<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right;\">20,100,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>6<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right;\">65,000,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>7<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right;\">225,000,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>8<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right;\">805,000,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>9<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right;\">3,010,000,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>10<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right;\">9,800,000,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right;\">34,500,000,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>12<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right;\">110,000,000,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2><\/h2>\n<h2>How To Use This Information<\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li>Click on a Lair as if you are going to set up a Rally.<br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-935\" src=\"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/March-Strength.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/March-Strength.png 640w, https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/March-Strength-188x300.png 188w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/li>\n<li>Set up your march as if you were attacking a lair<\/li>\n<li>Note the troop might in the lower left.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>In this case, my march will hit with just over 13 mil.\u00a0 This is enough to complete level 4 (5 million) but not level 5 (20 million).<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2>What Do You Mean By &#8216;Graphical Analysis&#8217;?<\/h2>\n<p>By capturing the &#8220;recommended might&#8221; from every firefly of the first 6 difficulties (well, most of them), I was able to plot this chart, which is not very useful:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-936\" src=\"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/linear.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"664\" height=\"415\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/linear.png 664w, https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/linear-300x188.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 664px) 100vw, 664px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>However, by changing the vertical axis to logarithmic, it looks like this:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-937\" src=\"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/logarithmic.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"663\" height=\"412\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/logarithmic.png 663w, https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/logarithmic-300x186.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 663px) 100vw, 663px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Note that these lines are now somewhat evenly spaced.\u00a0 I did some number crunching, which wasn&#8217;t very fruitful, and sat on the data for a while, as I wasn&#8217;t sure what to do with it.<\/p>\n<p>Then I did this:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>The gray blocks are an average of the spacing between difficulties.\u00a0 This provides an extrapolation of each difficulty level.<\/li>\n<li>The purple and orange lines are a logarithmic scale that has been calibrated to the graph.<\/li>\n<li>Using the calibrated graph, measured the top (end point) of each gray block<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-938\" style=\"background-color: white;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/visualanalysis1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"816\" height=\"1056\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/visualanalysis1.png 816w, https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/visualanalysis1-232x300.png 232w, https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/visualanalysis1-791x1024.png 791w, https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/visualanalysis1-768x994.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 816px) 100vw, 816px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Here is what this looks like zoomed in:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-945\" src=\"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/visualanalysis2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1246\" height=\"801\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/visualanalysis2.png 1246w, https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/visualanalysis2-300x193.png 300w, https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/visualanalysis2-1024x658.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/visualanalysis2-768x494.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1246px) 100vw, 1246px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>For example, the top of difficulty 6 is above 60 million on the purple scale, and right about at 5 on the orange scale, so 65,000,000.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>SWAG stands for Scientific Wild-Ass Guess.\u00a0 Here is a SWAG for Firefly might.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-931","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-reference"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/931","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=931"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/931\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":946,"href":"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/931\/revisions\/946"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=931"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=931"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zombiebbq.biz\/Zombie-BBQ\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=931"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}